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China’s 20th Party Congress: What to watch out for as major meeting nears finish
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2022年11月04日 10:39:43
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China’s 20th Congress wraps up this weekend with a lot more at stake than simply President Xi Jinping’s bid to secure a historic third term as Communist Party chief.To get more news about China's 20th party congress, you can visit shine news official website.

The composition of the party’s elite bodies, as well as key phrases, will be scrutinised to determine the full extent of Xi’s campaign to become China’s most powerful leader since Mao Zedong.

Here are some of the key things that analysts will be looking into at the end of the five-yearly event in Beijing:One of the major tasks of this week’s Congress is appointing the Communist Party’s Central Committee, made up of around 200 delegates, of which the 25-member Politburo forms the core.

But real power in China rests in the hands of the Politburo’s smaller Standing Committee — which currently has seven members — that will also be chosen this week.Hong Kong’s South China Morning Post predicted that “as many as four top positions on the Politburo Standing Committee could change hands and nearly half the Central Committee is expected to be replaced”.

“A larger turnover would mean a benefit for Xi,” Nis Grunberg, of the Mercator Institute for Chinese Studies (Merics) in Berlin, said, explaining that it would allow China’s leader to “promote more of his supporters from the Politburo to the Standing Committee”.On Saturday, the party is expected to unveil the new Central Committee, while the following day — at its first plenum — the composition of the new Politburo and its Standing Committee will be made public.

Next — either in position two or three — will be the new premier, replacing the retiring Li Keqiang, who analysts say has not fully endorsed some of Xi’s signature policies, including zero-Covid.

Touted as possible successors are the more liberal-minded Wang Yang and Hu Chunhua, a protege of former president Hu Jintao and once cited as a potential leader of China.

But there are few expectations the appointment of either will signify any factional challenge to Xi, who has diminished the role of the premier during his 10 years in power.

“The composition of the new Politburo and its Standing Committee will provide some of the best evidence available about the political balance of power in Beijing,” said Neil Thomas, senior China analyst at Eurasia Group.

However, he added, “Xi’s incredible consolidation of power means that elite promotions are less of a balancing act between rival factions and more of a loyalty contest within Xi’s dominant faction”. Tipped to join the Standing Committee are four close allies: Li Xi, Guangdong province party chief; Ding Xuexiang, Xi’s chief of staff; and Chen Min’er, party leader in the megacity of Chongqing.

Also possibly primed for promotion to the upper echelons is Li Qiang, party chief in Shanghai and architect of the city’s gruelling months-long Covid lockdown this year. He is another Xi ally.

Xi’s longtime advisor — and current Politburo Standing Committee number five — Wang Huning is also tipped for promotion, with the South China Morning Post reporting that he could lead Beijing’s National People’s Congress.

TAG. 20th national congress

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